What is a tropical storm? It is a low-pressure, tropical system with maximum sustained winds near the center between 39 and 73 mph. When does a tropical storm become a hurricane? When maximum ...

The cone is designed to convey uncertainty in the forecast of the storm's center not necessarily the areas that will experience impacts, In the figure above, it is clear that over time forecasts ...

Continuing with our tropical discussion, let’s talk about the cone of uncertainty in this week’s Sunday Science Tidbit. The cone of uncertainty is a one of the main products used when ...

Imagine: a major hurricane is hours from striking you, but you have NO idea. In the not-too-distant past, this was the norm. Devastating Category 4 Hurricane Hazel, for example, struck the Cape Fear ...

The Cone of Uncertainty is a forecasting tool predicting the probable landfall of a hurricane/tropical storm — Rich Segal. Skip to content. KXAN Austin.

The renewed scrutiny comes exactly two decades after the hurricane center debuted the cone of uncertainty, sometimes called the cone of concern. It’s a simple tool, showing the projected ...

Cone of Uncertainty: It Shows Storm Path, Not Impacts. Posted: May 30, 2025 | Last updated: June 19, 2025. The cone of uncertainty maps are some of the most common images that we show from June to ...

The National Hurricane Center’s cone of uncertainty turns 20 this year, and the iconic map keeps getting smaller as forecasts get more accurate. But most storm risk is still outside the cone.

The cone of uncertainty used by the National Hurricane Center has shrunk dramatically since 2003 as forecasting science improves. Every year, it’s recalculated based on tracking errors from the ...