2024 polls were accurate but still underestimated Trump
That's why we do things like publish ratings of pollster accuracy and transparency and make complex election forecasting ...
Betting markets nailed Trump's decisive win — and it's a good reminder they can be more accurate than polls
"This is the dawn of a new era for prediction markets," Kalshi's founder said. Betting markets called Trump's win weeks ...
BBC on MSN2d
Did the US election polls fail?
For much of the 2024 US presidential campaign, polls and pundits rated the race too close to call. Then Donald Trump ...
Polls predicted a close race. Trump won handily. Pollster says one thing is 'very clear.'
Trump has outperformed polling predictions in the last three elections. Here are one pollster's takeaways from 2024 election results.
Why Exit Polls Are Misleading
Exit polls don’t have a very good track record, and they can contribute to misleading narratives on election night.
How exit polls work and what they will tell us on election night
Exit polls help us better understand who came out to vote, how different groups of people voted and how they feel about some ...
2024 voting: Here's when polls close for all 50 states on Election Day
Polls cross the country will remain open until at least the early evening local time as Americans cast their ballots on ...
Early Results Suggest the Polls Were Notably Accurate
Collectively they indicated that the presidential race would be close, and it appears they got it right without significantly ...
Polls Show Mixed Picture in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania
CNN battleground polls show Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by five points in Michigan and six points in Wisconsin, ...
CNN on MSN2d
How prediction markets saw something the polls and pundits didn’t
But just like polls, prediction markets are far from perfect. In 2016, bookmakers told the British public that the smart ...