U.S. presidential election campaign is one of the closest races in recent history. Initially, polls showed former President Donald Trump holding a consistent lead over incumbent President Joe Biden, ...

Not all polls are created equal. Here's 538's guide to interpreting them. It's the fall of an election year, which means you're probably seeing a lot of news stories about polls. But they can be ...

Exit polls are surveys of a random sample of voters taken after they leave their voting location, supplemented by telephone interviews to account for absentee or early voters in many states.

The poll said that Wells, the Democratic candidate for Indiana attorney general, and Jennifer McCormick, the Democrats’ ...

In the week since the debate, polls have shown a slight increase in support for the Democratic nominee. As a result, on Monday, Sept. 16, Harris's chance of winning the election according to 538's ...

This article is part of The D.C. Brief, TIME’s politics newsletter. Sign up here to get stories like this sent to your inbox. No poll is predictive. Every single one of them is a measure of a ...

Trafalgar has not had a spotless record, and its periodic failures have tended in the direction of overestimating Republicans, with its most conspicuous recent flop being polls that showed the ...

By Nate Cohn The idea behind a poll average is simple: Just average the most recent polls together. The reality is more complicated. The New York Times’s polling average is a weighted average ...

Learn more about how to exercise your voting rights, resist voter intimidation efforts, and access disability-related accommodations and language assistance at the polls. For help at the polls, call ...

On a special episode (first released on September 11, 2024) of The Excerpt podcast: In the wake of the Trump-Harris debate, there's a firehose worth of new polls out, each purporting to show ...

But regardless of whether the third-party candidate will endorse Trump, Harris, or neither — where will his voters go, according to the polls? Polling for RFK Jr. has been notoriously hard to ...