NASA has dropped the probability of an impact from ... for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) Sentry Risk Table. Now, however, with an impact risk of just 1 in 360, or 0.28%, asteroid 2024 YR4's ...

Discovered in Dec. 2024, 2024 YR4 quickly climbed to the top of NASA's Sentry Risk table, at one point having ... now lists the 2024 YR4 impact probability as 0.00005 (0.005%) or 1-in-20,000 ...

NASA and ESA are closely monitoring asteroid 2024 YR4, which initially had a higher collision probability with Earth than the Apophis asteroid. New data has since lowered the impact risk to 1.5% ...

NASA and European scientists explain how they calculate the probability of the space rock 2024 YR4 impacting our planet, and why it’s not yet time to worry. By Robin George Andrews Robin George ...

"As more observations of the asteroid’s orbit are obtained, its impact probability will become better known," NASA said in a recent blog post. "It is possible that asteroid 2024 YR4 will be ...

Discovered in Dec. 2024, 2024 YR4 quickly climbed to the top of NASA's Sentry Risk table, at one point having ... now lists the 2024 YR4 impact probability as 0.00005 (0.005%) or 1-in-20,000 ...