Former President Trump has taken a narrow lead over Vice President Harris in pollster Nate Silver’s prediction model just weeks out from Election Day. While the race remains essentially a toss ...

Top polling guru reveals final 2024 election prediction model ... In Silver’s model, Harris won the Electoral College in 50.015 percent of the 80,000 simulations, giving her a razor-thin lead.

Harris tops Trump by 1.4 percentage points in the Silver Bulletin’s national polling average, marking the vice president’s first lead in the forecast. The latest model shows Harris with 45.5 ...

Silver's forecast model gives Trump a 60.1 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, compared to Vice President Kamala Harris' 39.7 percent, with the former president taking 277 electoral ...

His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald Trump victory by 10:30 p.m. EST.

Unlike news outlets that merely reported on the latest polls, Silver integrated a great number of polls into a model of his invention, to reveal an overall political picture. RealClearPolitics had ...

Former President Trump has taken a narrow lead over Vice President Harris in pollster Nate Silver’s prediction model just weeks out from Election Day. While the race remains essentially a toss ...